Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3133
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 3133 · MCO → MCI
departs 8:50 PM ET · arrives 10:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 37%
Fri 10/2 35%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.