Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3133
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 3133 · MCO → MCI
departs 10:15 PM ET · arrives 12:10 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.13 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.51 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.