Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3238
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 3238 · MCI → MCO
departs 9:30 AM CT · arrives 1:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 30%
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↑
MCO is busy at that time
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip 0.66 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.