Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3415
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 3415 · PWM → MDW
departs 7:30 AM ET · arrives 9:05 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 18%
Fri 10/2 8%
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave PWM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
PWM is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from PWM are usually not late
Weather at each end
PWM (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 2,033 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.59 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.