Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3743
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 3743 · MSP → MDW
departs 11:15 AM CT · arrives 12:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 26%
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3 3%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
11am departures from MSP are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 1.00 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.