Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4222
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 4222 · DEN → FLL
departs 3:35 PM MT · arrives 9:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 44%
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3 27%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±6 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −19 pts in 24h
−19 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at FLL that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↑
3pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
FLL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip 0.11 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.34 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.