Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4222
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 4222 · DEN → FLL
departs 2:55 PM MT · arrives 8:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3 27%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±9 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
This flight has been late 49% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FLL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.16 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.84 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.