Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4264
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 4264 · FLL → DEN
departs 11:50 AM ET · arrives 2:05 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 17%
Fri 10/2 12%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
29%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
11am departures from FLL are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.18 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.