Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4414
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 4414 · OKC → HOU
departs 12:20 PM CT · arrives 1:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 33%
Fri 10/2 31%
Sat 10/3 12%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±5 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at OKC that day
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
OKC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.60 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.34 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.