Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4414
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 4414 · OKC → HOU
departs 12:25 PM CT · arrives 1:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3 12%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at OKC that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
OKC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.87 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.