WN 4422 · HOU → MIA

departs 6:26 PM CT · arrives 9:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at HOU that day

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 44% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MIA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

MIA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4422 · HOU → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?