WN 4505 · LAS → ICT

departs 2:21 PM PT · arrives 6:40 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ICT?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ICT that day

↑ 2pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ICT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling11,714 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ICT (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7.28571 mi Precip0.65 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4505 · LAS → ICT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICT?