Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4650
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 4650 · LGA → DAL
departs 7:35 PM ET · arrives 10:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 51%
Fri 10/2 64%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 39%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±0 pts
+27 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↑
7pm departures from LGA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.46 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.