WN 4886 · DTW → DEN

departs 6:59 AM ET · arrives 7:57 AM MT

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.44 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4886 · DTW → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?