Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 970
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 970 · BWI → JAX
departs 12:15 PM ET · arrives 2:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 12%
Fri 10/2 15%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
BWI is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into JAX at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JAX
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JAX (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.