tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4338 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)
Yesterday

YX 4338 · LGA → MSN

took off 6:15 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 6:27 PM ET → 8:07 PM CT)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?
20% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MSN?

  1. On time or early
    76%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.