YX 4381 · LGA → CMH

took off 11:59 AM ET · landed 1:09 PM ET (scheduled 11:13 AM ET → 1:13 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CMH?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4381 · LGA → CMH

Odds over time

How late did it get to CMH?