YX 4532 · RDU → PIT

took off 7:35 AM ET · landed 8:38 AM ET (scheduled 8:00 AM ET → 9:25 AM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PIT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at PIT that day

↑ RDU is prone to delays

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility4 mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4532 · RDU → PIT

Odds over time

How late did it get to PIT?