YX 5614 · BOS → MKE

took off 9:28 AM ET · landed 10:32 AM CT (scheduled 9:10 AM ET → 10:54 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MKE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MKE that day

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

↓ MKE usually runs smoothly

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

MKE (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.48 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5614 · BOS → MKE

Odds over time

How late did it get to MKE?