YX 5614 · BOS → MKE

departs 9:10 AM ET · arrives 10:54 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at MKE that day

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ MKE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

MKE (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.50 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5614 · BOS → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?