Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1040SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 1040 · MIA → JFK
departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 9:05 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
6%chance · ±1 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.