AA 1052 · AUS → CLT

departs 2:49 PM CT · arrives 6:46 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

79% chance · ±0 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
20%
15–30 min late
46%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,233 ft Visibility7 mi Precip1.07 in

CLT (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1052 · AUS → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?