AA 1203 · BUF → CLT

departs 1:04 PM ET · arrives 3:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

CLT (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1203 · BUF → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?