AA 1365 · DFW → ELP

departs 8:20 AM CT · arrives 9:16 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

61% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into ELP at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.84 in

ELP (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1365 · DFW → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?