AA 1368 · MIA → ATL

departs 3:49 PM ET · arrives 5:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from MIA are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.66 in

ATL (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1368 · MIA → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?