AA 1569 · PVD → CLT

departs 11:25 AM ET · arrives 1:43 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ PVD is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from PVD are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PVD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1569 · PVD → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?