AA 1736 · PIT → CLT

departs 2:44 PM ET · arrives 4:14 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from PIT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1736 · PIT → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?