Schedule: FAA flight plans.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1851
SCHEDULED
Today
AA 1851 · ORD → SFO
departs 9:46 AM CT · arrives 12:22 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
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How late will it get to SFO?
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On time or early
60%
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15–30 min late
13%
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30 min–1 hour late
15%
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1–2 hours late
5%
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Over 2 hours late
6%
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Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.