Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1931SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1931 · IAH → MIA
departs 6:12 PM CT · arrives 9:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
54%chance · ±2 pts−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.