Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2010SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2010 · MIA → LAS
departs 9:25 AM ET · arrives 11:41 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±4 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.