AA 2013 · DFW → CLT

departs 3:59 PM CT · arrives 7:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

66% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.19 in

CLT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2013 · DFW → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?