AA 2083 · DCA → RDU

departs 8:00 PM ET · arrives 9:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↑ 8pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2083 · DCA → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?