Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2201SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2201 · MSY → MIA
departs 6:57 PM CT · arrives 9:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
60%chance · ±0 pts−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.