AA 2289 · MIA → DFW

departs 7:38 PM ET · arrives 9:49 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

78% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
17%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
19%
Cancelled
24%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,233 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.76 in

DFW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip2.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2289 · MIA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?