AA 2492 · GRR → CLT

departs 7:06 AM ET · arrives 9:01 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at GRR that day

↑ 7am departures from GRR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.80 in

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2492 · GRR → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?