Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2542 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Today

AA 2542 · DFW → PHL

departs 8:19 PM CT · arrives 12:35 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

81% chance · ±7 pts +28 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
14%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
27%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
25%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.84 in

PHL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2542 · DFW → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?