Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2573 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AA 2573 · CLT → PHL

departs 1:02 PM ET · arrives 2:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2573 · CLT → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?