tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2586 SCHEDULED

AA 2586 · MSY → DCA

departs 1:58 PM CT · arrives 5:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
35% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DCA?

  1. On time or early
    64%
  2. 15–30 min late
    17%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.