Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2654SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2654 · PHX → MIA
departs 11:05 PM MT · arrives 6:28 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
33%chance · ±0 pts+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.