AA 2688 · CLT → RDU

departs 10:21 AM ET · arrives 11:28 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Arrivals into RDU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2688 · CLT → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?