AA 2742 · ROC → CLT

departs 12:53 PM ET · arrives 2:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5.0 in of rain forecast at ROC that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ ROC usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

ROC (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip2.09 in

CLT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2742 · ROC → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?