Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2786SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AA 2786 · ORD → PHX
departs 10:35 PM CT · arrives 12:14 AM MT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
63%chance · ±3 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.