AA 2889 · CLT → SAT

departs 8:41 AM ET · arrives 10:37 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.51 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2889 · CLT → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?