AA 2962 · DSM → CLT

departs 1:23 PM CT · arrives 4:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DSM that day

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ DSM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.38 in

CLT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2962 · DSM → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?