Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3036 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AA 3036 · CLT → ONT

departs 8:43 PM ET · arrives 10:34 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±6 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ONT?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ONT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3036 · CLT → ONT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ONT?