AA 3053 · DFW → ABQ

departs 2:22 PM CT · arrives 3:19 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

89% chance · ±0 pts +44 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
10%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
41%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.44 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3053 · DFW → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?