AA 3066 · DCA → STL

departs 3:06 PM ET · arrives 4:49 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,433 ft Visibility5.66667 mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3066 · DCA → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?