AA 3070 · CLT → AUS

departs 2:12 PM ET · arrives 4:03 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

72% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,033 ft, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,033 ft Visibility6.33333 mi Precip1.99 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3070 · CLT → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?