Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3155 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AA 3155 · CLT → ROC

departs 8:38 PM ET · arrives 10:27 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 33h before departure

Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ROC?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ROC (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3155 · CLT → ROC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ROC?