Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3174SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AA 3174 · PHX → FAT
departs 9:32 PM MT · arrives 11:08 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
28%chance · ±0 pts−16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.